The top 10 in the Pac-10

Here's an update of my Pac-10 Conference football rankings. Again, they're based foremost on how many wins each team has above or below the number an average major-college team would have if it faced the same schedule. A "half" game plus or minus is the result of winning or losing a game that looked like a tossup going in. Essentially I divide college teams into three groups: 1. top-25 teams; teams with sub-.500 records; everyone in between. A school should win home games against sub-.500 teams and middling teams, and lose road games against top-25 teams and middling teams; home games top-25s and road games against sub-.500s are toss-ups.

1. USC (2-0 record, +1 win compared to average)
2. Arizona (3-1, +0.5)
3. Cal (2-1, +0.5)
4. Oregon (3-1, +0)
5. Stanford (2-2, +0)
6. Oregon State (1-2, -0.5)
7. UCLA (1-2, -0.5)
8. Washington (0-3, -1)
9. Arizona State (2-2, -1.5)
10. Washington State (1-3, -2)